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FORECAST DISCUSSION AS OF SUNDAY MORNING 8:30 EST (5:30PST):
It’s race day for the Sprint Cup cars, and as I write this post there is a very light shower sitting over Auto Club Speedway. I think it will slowly end but then you have to dry the track and as we progress through out the day, especially in the afternoon and into evening the risk and chances for rain begin to increase.
All week this forecast has given me fits. So here is what I think could happen. Disclaimer, no matter what I forecast today most will not like it and I will have a lot of crap to deal with. That’s the nature of the beast. Here is my philosophy when it comes to forecasting NASCAR races. I want to give everyone all the information available. I will tend to forecast the worst case scenario sometimes using the prepare for the worst and hope for the best mentality.
As I write this forecast it is currently raining and it doesn’t look like the risk of rain will decrease any as we go through the day. I do believe there will be breaks and a possible window but isolated and scattered showers are some of the hardest kind of showers to forecast. Because we don’t always know where one of these showers will pop up.
There very well could be rain for the race today depending when and where the showers pop up. If they have to postpone this race many times I have a feeling they will then have to run it Monday afternoon just because the risk of rain and more rain increases as we progress into the afternoon and evening.
Now if they get the race in then you have the risk and chance that a shower will develop during the race. Of course this could mean postponing it if they don’t get to half way or calling it. Bottom line as I said above, prepare for the worst and home for the best, as a fan I want to see a race but mother nature appears that it could and may very well rain during the race at some point. I will keep you updated as we go through the day so look for updates 1st on Twitter then later before the race here on my blog.
Also if you are on twitter, please feel free to follow me @NASCAR_WXMAN.
Click here to read more from WROC News 8 Meteorologist Brian Neudorff.



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